Beat me, win a guest post, limited in scope to election analysis and 500 words. Lose to me, and you reciprocate in kind (if you own a blog.) I've made some changes to the scoring, so this is the final format:
5 points for every Senate race picked correctly.
3 points for each governor race picked correctly.
Lose 3 points for every seat you are off in your final Senate prediction, lose one point for each House seat you are off. Ten point bonus for a correct guess on the senate count, 25 point bonus for a correct guess on the house cout.
Candidates are listed Dem/GOP, incumbent indicated by *.
Deadline is 11:59 p.m. on October 31.
SENATE
New Jersey- Menendez* /Kean
Rhode Island- Whitehouse/Chaffee*
Montana- Tester/Burns*
Missouri- McKaskil/Talent*
Tennessee- Ford/Corker (open seat held by GOP)
Virginia- Webb/Allen*
Ohio- Brown/DeWine*
Maryland- Cardin/Steele (open seat held by Dem)
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver/Nussle
Maryland- O'Malley/Ehrlich
Minnesota- Hatch/Pawlenty*
Oregon- Kulongonski*/Saxton
Wisconsin- Doyle*/Green
CURRENT CONGRESS
Senate- 45D/55 GOP
House- 203D/232 GOP (includes Bernie Sanders as a Dem)
posted by The leftist southpaw @ 1:17 PM
11 Comments:
Do they have this same setup in Vegas?
no, made it up myself, with absolutely no basis in athematics or odds!
New Jersey- Menendez
Rhode Island- Whitehouse
Montana- Tester
Missouri- Talent
Tennessee- Corker
Virginia- Webb
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Cardin
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver
Maryland- O'Malley
Minnesota- Hatch
Oregon- Kulongonski
Wisconsin- Doyle
CONGRESS
Senate- 50/50
House- 233D/202 GOP
SENATE
New Jersey- Menendez
Rhode Island- Whitehouse
Montana- Tester
Missouri- Talent
Tennessee- Ford
Virginia- Webb
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Cardin
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver
Maryland- O'Malley
Minnesota- Hatch
Oregon- Kulongonsk
Wisconsin- Doyle
CONGRESS
Senate- 51D/49 GOP
House- 233D/202 GOP
New Jersey- Menendez
Rhode Island- Whitehouse
Montana- Burns
Missouri- Talent
Tennessee- Corker
Virginia- Allen
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Steele
Though it wasn’t included, Santorum loses in PA. GOP loses at net of 2.
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver
Maryland- Ehrlich
Minnesota- Pawlenty
Oregon- Kulongonski
Wisconsin- Doyle
CONGRESS
Senate- 47D/53 GOP
House- 215D/220 GOP
Missouri--Talent
Maryland--Steele
Virginia--Allen
I'm not going to guess on the others but to be honest I'm not thrilled with Kean, Chafee or DeWine so if they lose its because they aren't real conservatives, IMHO.
New Jersey- Menendez
Rhode Island- Chaffee
Montana- Tester
Missouri- Talent
Tennessee- Corker
Virginia- Allen
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Cardin
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver
Maryland- O'Malley
Minnesota- Pawlenty
Oregon- Kulongonski
Wisconsin- Doyle
CONGRESS
Senate- 49D/51 GOP
House- 223D/212 GOP
Just the Senate for me!
New Jersey- Kean
Rhode Island- Whitehouse
Montana- Tester
Missouri- Talent
Tennessee- Corker
Virginia- Allen
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Cardin
NJ - Kean
RI - Whitehouse
MT - Burns
MO - Talent
TN - Corker
VA - Allen
OH - Brown
MD - Steele
Haven't really paid much attention to the Govs so I'll sit that one out. Except for MD - Erlich
Congress
Senate 56R/42D/2I
House 225R/209D/1I
New Jersey- Menendez
Rhode Island- Whitehouse
Montana- Tester
Missouri- McKaskil
Tennessee- Corker
Virginia- Webb
Ohio- Brown
Maryland- Cardin
GOVERNOR
Iowa- Culver
Maryland- O'Malley
Minnesota- Hatch
Oregon- Kulongonski
Wisconsin- Doyle
Senate- 51D/49 GOP
House- 230D/205 GOP
Good caveat Seamus...Now that Kerry is in hiding...anyone else find it strange how quiet Dean has been. Guess they put him in hiding long ago before he joined Kerry in screwing things up again ;)
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